Monday 28 March 2016

Grantham’s ‘Generation Rent’ to grow by 692 households by 2021

The growth of the private rented sector, and the arrival of an investor class of buy to let landlords within it, is an issue that won’t be going away anytime soon, no matter what you read in the Daily Mail”, I said, as I chatted over a coffee with a landlord client of mine at Leo’s Cafe on Westgate in the town. Whether you are a landlord of mine (or not as the case maybe), I am always happy to look over any properties you are thinking of buying for buy to let purposes and more so over a coffee!

Some commentators are saying buy to let is about to die, with the new stamp duty changes and how mortgage tax relief will be calculated. Some say 500,000 rental properties will flood the market nationally in the next 12 months as landlords leave the rental market. Have you heard the phrase ‘Bad news sells newspapers’? Let me explain why buy to let in Grantham is only going in one direction – and not the direction the papers say they are going.

Tuesday 22 March 2016

£120,000 inheritance - Is buying Grantham Property still the best place for my windfall?

I had an interesting email from someone in Grantham a few weeks ago that I want to share with you (don’t worry I asked his permission to share this with you all). In a nutshell, the gentleman lives in Barrowby, he is in his mid 60’s and still working. He has a decent pension, so that when he does retire in a couple of years’ time, it will give him a comfortable life. He had recently inherited £120,000 from an elderly aunt. One option he told me was put it into a savings account. The best he could find was a 2 year bond with the Post Office which paid 1.9%; meaning he would get £2,280 in interest a year. One of his other options was to buy a property in Grantham to rent out and he wanted to know my thoughts on what he should buy, but he had concerns as he didn’t want to take a mortgage out at his time of life. He was also worried about all the tax changes he had read about in the papers for landlords.

Notwithstanding the war on Grantham landlords being waged by George Osborne, the attraction of bricks and mortar endures for many. As our man is a cash buyer, he would not have to deal with the intricate cut to mortgage interest tax relief that will diminish, or even eradicate, the profits of many Grantham landlords. It’s true he would face the extra 3% in stamp duty to buy a second property, but with some good negotiation techniques, that could soon be mitigated.

I told him that buying a Grantham buy to let property is all about the total return on investment. True, he could put the money in the Post Office bond and receive his interest of £2,280 a year or, as he rightly suggested, invest in property in Grantham. The average yield (yield being the equivalent of the interest rate on the property) at the moment in Grantham is 4.11% per annum, meaning our potential F.T.L (First Time Landlord) should be able to, depending on what he bought in the town, earn before costs £4,932 a year. (However, I told him there are plenty of landlords in Grantham earning half as much again (if not more), if he was willing to consider more specialist investment types of properties – again, if you want to know where – look at my blog or drop me an email).

The bottom line is that the success of investing in Grantham buy to let property versus a savings account with the Post Office (or whatever Bank or Building Society is offering the best rate) will depend on the performance of those assets. Unlike with a savings account, with property the capital you invested can also go up (and yes, it can go down as well – more of that in second). Property values in Grantham have risen in the last twelve months by 5.5% meaning, that if our chap had bought a year ago, not only would he have received the £4,932 in rent, but also seen an uplift of £6,600 …meaning his overall return for the year would have been £11,532 (not bad when compared to the Post Office!).

..  but the doom mongers amongst you will say, property values can go down, as they did in 2008, and in 1988 and 1979. Yes, but after 1979 prices had bounced back to their ’79 levels by 1984 and went on to grow an additional 58% in the following four years. Then again, they dropped in 1988 and did take 13 years to reach back to those ’88 figures, but the following six years (between 2001 and 2007) they then increased by an additional 66%. Now, according to the Land Registry, average property values in Lincolnshire currently stand 6.14% below the January 2008 level, and anecdotal evidence suggests that in the nicer parts of Grantham, we are well above these sorts of levels. Therefore, all this talk of property crashes is unfounded.
   

… and what would that £120,000 get you in Grantham? A decent 3 bed semi in Harrowby or a very nice 3 bed terrace close to the town centre or Wyndham Park .. in fact, the world is your oyster. But which Oyster? Well, my blog reading friends, if you want to read similar articles like this and what I consider to be the very best of buy to let deals in Grantham, irrespective of which agent is selling it, then you need to visit the Grantham Property Blog  

Wednesday 2 March 2016

Houses in Grantham are 6.4% cheaper in real terms than 10 years ago

One of my landlords rang me last week from Barrowby Edge, after he had spoken to a friend of his. Over Christmas, they were discussing the Grantham property market and neither of them could make their mind up if it was time to either sell or buy property. If you read the newspapers and the landlord forums on the internet, there is a good slice of doom and gloom, especially with changes in the taxation towards landlords, new legislation on checking tenants and the general uncertainty in the world economic situation.

I would admit, there are certain landlords in Grantham who have over exposed themselves in the last few years with high percentage loan to value mortgages. Those mortgages, with their current (yet artificially low) interest rates, will start to suffer, as their modest monthly positive cash flow/profit, i.e. income (rent) less costs (mortgage, fees, tax), will become negative when the tax and mortgage rates rise throughout 2017 and beyond.